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中韩自贸协定的五重效应

Five Effects of China ROK FTA

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核心提示:日前,中韩官方宣布,已经完成中韩自由贸易协定(FTA)全部文本的草签,并公开了协定中涉及关税减让的内容。

日前,中韩官方宣布,已经完成中韩自由贸易协定(FTA)全部文本的草签,并公开了协定中涉及关税减让的内容。

中韩达成自贸协定,除了大大加速中韩经济融合外,还会产生多重战略效应:

首先,全球谈判效应。它是目前世界上主要经济体之间签订的最重要的、质量和层次最高的自贸协定之一,对于推动全球贸易自由化与投资便利化规则的谈判具有重要的示范与推动作用。

第二,地区合作效应。中韩自贸协定会进一步催促日本、我国台湾地区等经济体加速或升级与中国大陆的经济自由贸易协定的谈判,最终建成中日韩自贸区,带动整个东亚自由贸易协定谈判,推动更具包容性和前瞻性的亚太自贸区(FTAAP)的最终建立。

第三,双边示范效应。韩国作为美国的盟国,率先与中国达成自由贸易协定,连同随后的中国与澳大利亚FTA一道,会对美国在亚太地区的盟友产生重要的示范效应。

第四,互联互通效应。中韩自由贸易协定最终让韩国搭上中国“一带一路”顺风车,加速与中国互联互通而融入亚欧大陆。

第五,桥梁纽带效应。韩国此前已经与欧盟、美国等主要经济体签署了FTA,并且支持中国亚太自由区倡议,且正在协商加入跨太平洋战略经济伙伴关系协议(TPP),但是,在韩国与其他国家签署的所有自贸协定中,中韩自贸协定的关税优惠对象数量最多。韩国对外经济政策研究院预测,自贸区协定生效5年内,韩国国内生产总值(GDP)有望最高提升1.25%。(中国进出口网)

Recently, China and South Korea officially announced that China-ROK Free Trade Agreement (FTA) initialed text has been completed, and disclosed some contents involving tariff concessions.

In addition to greatly accelerating economic integration, the China-ROK FTA will also have multiple strategic effects:

First, global negotiations effect. It is one of the most important, the highest quality and level of the FTA signed among the world’s major economies, promoting the negotiations for the global trade liberalization and investment facilitation rules.

Second, regional cooperation effect. China ROK FTA will further urge Japan, Taiwan and other economies to accelerate or upgrade the free trade agreement negotiations with the China’s mainland economy, which is helpful to build China Japan ROK free trade zone, promoting the Free Trade Agreement negotiations in the whole of East Asia and the more inclusive and forward-looking FTAAP establishment.

Third, bilateral demonstration effect. Korea, as a US ally, reached the free trade agreement with China first, together with the subsequent FTA with Australia, it will have an important demonstration effect in the Asia-Pacific allies of the United States.

Fourth, the interconnection effects. China ROK FTA eventually make ROK involved into China’s "one belt one road", accelerating its interconnection with China and its integration into the Eurasian continent.

Fifth, bridge effect. South Korea had already signed FTA with the EU, the US and other major economies, and supports China’s Asia-Pacific free zone initiatives, and is negotiating to join Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), but compared with ROK’s FTA Agreement signed with other countries, China ROK FTA has the largest number of tariff preference objects. South Korean Foreign Economic Policy Research Institute predicted that the FTA Agreement would come into force in five years, South Korea's gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to enhance 1.25% at most.

 

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