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花旗财富论坛:花旗预估今年全球经济将温和复苏

Citigroup Fortune Forum: Citigroup Forecasts Modest Recovery in Global Economy This Year

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核心提示:2015年首场花旗财富论坛28日在贵阳举行,海内外多家金融机构专家与500余名业界精英共同展望最新全球经济趋势,探讨科技新纪元,分析金融投资策略,并交流在全球背景之下如何达到财富的保值和增值。

2015年首场花旗财富论坛28日在贵阳举行,海内外多家金融机构专家与500余名业界精英共同展望最新全球经济趋势,探讨科技新纪元,分析金融投资策略,并交流在全球背景之下如何达到财富的保值和增值。

在此前的媒体见面会上,金融专家表示,2015年全球经济将温和复苏,美国、欧洲股市投资值得期待;相对于其他主要货币,人民币或将于今年显著升值。

对于2015全球经济走势,与会专家均持“乐观”态度,美国股市、欧洲股市、中国股市均有上涨便是利好体现。花旗银行(中国)有限公司零售银行研究与投资分析助理副总裁唐君豪先生认为,花旗预估今年全球经济将温和复苏,2015年与2016年GDP增速分别达3.0%和3.4%,较去年的2.7%略为上升。

富达国际投资的专家楼中岳表示,失业率持续下降、房屋销售与内需消费提升,均显示美国经济保持温和增长,前景乐观。美国企业不断强化其资产负债表,同时提高股息及回购比率,并活跃于并购市场,亦对股市升势提供支持。

德盛安联的专家余子玲认为,在欧元贬值及油价下跌的环境下,欧元区宏观经济数据应会进一步靠稳,随着增长预期下调的趋势结束,市场有空间带来惊喜,可望利好欧洲股市。

谈及中国经济走势,唐君豪说,2014年A股的暴涨已部分反映了改革红利,2015年潜在的降息将利好房地产、保险、公用事业等板块,长线则可关注消费、互联网、健康医疗等结构性增长主体。(中国进出口网


The first Citigroup 2015 Fortune Global Forum was held in Guiyang on March 28, several financial institutions at home and abroad, more than 500 experts and industry gathered, expected the latest trends in the global economy, explored the world of tomorrow, analyzed financial investment strategy and exchanged how to achieve wealth preservation and appreciation under the global context.

In the previous media conference, financial experts said in 2015 there would be a moderate recovery in the global economy, the American and European stock investment was worth to wait; compared with other major currencies, the RMB might appreciate significantly this year.

For the 2015 global economic trends, experts are optimistic, the US stock market, European stock markets, Chinese stocks are all rising. (China) Citigroup Retail Banking Research and Investment Analysis, Assistant Vice President Tang Junhao believed, Citigroup forecast a modest recovery in the global economy this year, 2015 GDP growth reached 3.0% and and 2016 3.4%, compared with last year's 2.7%, the GDP slightly increased.

Fidelity International Investment expert Lou Zhongyue said, the unemployment rate continued to decline, housing sales and domestic consumption enhancement, showed that the US economy grew moderately. US companies continued to strengthen its balance sheet, while increasing the ratio of dividends and repurchases, and active in the M & A market, and supporting the stock market rally.

Allianz Dresdner expert Yu Ziling believed that under the circumstance of the euro depreciation and the oil price drop, the macroeconomic data in euro area should be further steady, with the end of the expected growth cut trend, the market might bring surprise, which was good for the European stock market.

When it came to China's economic trends, Tang Junhao said, 2014 A shares soar partly reflected the reform dividend, the potential rate cut in 2015 would be positive for the real estate, insurance, utilities and other sections, you can focus on consumption, Internet, health care and other structures growth subject in the long run.
 

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